The Edge Is in the Data
We built PRIS because gut-feel tipsters were everywhere and rigorous, model-driven analysis was not. Every pick we publish is backed by numbers, not noise.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.
How It Started
PRIS was founded by four MIT-trained statistical engineers and data scientists — each holding a PhD — who got tired of watching the betting market misprice matches their models had already solved. What started as a private research project became one of the most precise sports prediction systems ever built.
Between the four of us we hold doctorates in statistical inference, machine learning, econometrics, and sports science. We spent two years building and backtesting the model before publishing a single pick. Our dataset now spans 5,000+ picks with an 81% average hit rate — and it keeps growing every day.
We cover every league and game published and available to bet on the major sportsbook platforms — FanDuel, Caesars, DraftKings, BetMGM, and more. If it's on the board, our model has an opinion on it. We publish between one and five picks per day — only when the confidence threshold is met.
What to Expect from Nuclear Bombs
Our Nuclear Bombs tier is built entirely on +EV (positive expected value) plays — the highest-confidence model outliers of the day. The system is designed to be followed in full: every projection we release is part of a correlated +EV portfolio.
Results are based on following every projection released. Selective play breaks the +EV model and will reduce returns. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Want to Know More About the Dataset?
Our full historical dataset covers 5,000+ picks across every major sportsbook market. If you want a deeper look at the numbers — league breakdowns, pick-type performance, ROI by book — reach out directly and we'll walk you through it.
Our Methodology
Six data layers, one verdict
Expected Goals (xG)
We use shot-quality models trained on 8 seasons of Opta data to separate genuine attacking threat from lucky finishes.
Form & Momentum
Rolling 6-game form windows weighted by opposition strength, home/away split, and days since last match.
Head-to-Head History
Historical H2H filtered for relevance — we discount fixtures more than 3 seasons old and weight recent meetings heavily.
Injury & Squad Depth
Automated squad availability checks updated 48 hours before kick-off, with a proprietary impact score per absent player.
Market Movement
We track line movement across FanDuel, Caesars, DraftKings, BetMGM, and 8 other major books. Significant steam moves trigger a model re-run before we publish.
Goal Timing Patterns
Teams that score or concede disproportionately in specific match windows give us an edge on Asian handicap and BTTS markets.
The Team
Verified Track Record
All results independently logged. No cherry-picking, no retroactive edits.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.